Financial Risk Analysis




28 AUGUST 2008 NEW ZEALAND GAZETTE, No. 133 3521

Sector Rating

Government 31,328 21,274 36,047 20,386
Corporates 17,503 13,060 1,588 15,818
Mortgages 17,050 12,668
Swaps (3,179) 11,287 (376)
Other 4,931 6,760 1,187 3,718
Totals 67,633 41,094 62,777 39,546

Duration

0–3 years 35,433 11,210 62,740 13,979
3–5 years 15,271 17,095 (540) 13,525
5–7 years 12,844 3,275 1,073 2,922
7–9 years 1,082 2,996 (3,321) 902
9–11 years (4,991) 6,518 220 8,218
11+ years 7,994 2,605
Totals 67,633 41,094 62,777 39,546

2. Liquidity Risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that the trust will encounter difficulties in meeting the obligations associated with its financial liabilities. This risk is managed through the trust’s investment in a diversified portfolio of financial assets. This portfolio consists of marketable securities which, under normal conditions are readily convertible to cash. In addition, the trust maintains sufficient cash and cash equivalents to meet normal operating requirements.

The trust’s financial liabilities comprise trade and other payables and committed but unpaid donations.

At balance date, the ratio of financial assets to financial liabilities was 56:1 (2007 – 36:1).

3. Market Risk

Market risk is the risk that the fair value of future cash flows from financial assets will fluctuate due to changes in market variables such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates and market prices. Market risk is managed and monitored using sensitivity analysis and minimised by ensuring that all investment activities are undertaken in accordance with established mandate limits and the investment strategies set out in the trust’s statement of investment performance objectives.

3.1 Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk arises from the possibility that changes in interest rates will affect future cash flows or the fair value of financial assets. The trust’s investment in global bonds is held in a pooled fund. Movements in interest rates will be reflected in each pooled fund’s fair value asset pricing. NZ Bonds are held in segregated accounts. The exposure to movement in the fair value of the trust’s bond portfolios is discussed in the commentary on price risk.

The trust’s self managed cash and deposit accounts are interest bearing. Any movement in interest rates on these accounts is minimal and is not considered to be material.

3.2 Currency Risk

Currency risk is the risk that the fair value of, or future cash flows from, financial assets will fluctuate due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.

At balance date, the trust’s exposure to currency risk was as follows:

2008 2007
Foreign currency denominated financial assets 128,513 134,746
Less foreign currency contracts 115,662 120,034
Total unhedged exposure at 31 March 12,851 14,712

3.3 Pricing Risk

Pricing risk is the risk that the fair value of financial assets will increase or decrease as a result of changes in market prices, whether these changes are caused by factors specific to individual stocks or factors affecting all financial assets in the market. Price risks arise from the Trust’s investment portfolio (the Fund). As reported in the section on Significant Accounting Policies, the financial assets are valued at fair value as determined by reference to their quoted bid price at the reporting date, wherever this information is available.

Sensitivity to fluctuations in income for the trust’s fund arising from market risk are set out in the following tables provided by the trust’s investment consultant, Russell Investment Group Limited.

Sensitivity Analysis for the Trust’s Portfolio 31 March 2008

Asset Class Asset Allocation Long Term Expected Return p.a. –1 Standard Deviation Return p.a. 1 Standard Deviation Return p.a.
NZ Equities 4.7% 9.2% –7.8% 26.2%
Global Equities 23.8% 8.7% –6.2% 23.6%
NZ Fixed Interest 21.9% 6.3% 3.0% 9.6%
Global Bonds 36.0% 6.3% 3.0% 9.6%
NZ Cash 5.7% 5.7% 4.2% 7.2%
CCFs 2.6% 7.8% –10.2% 25.8%
Hedge Funds 5.4% 8.3% 0.3% 16.3%
Total 100.0% 7.1% 2.2% 12.0%


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Online Sources for this page:

Gazette.govt.nz PDF NZ Gazette 2008, No 133





✨ LLM interpretation of page content

💰 Sector Rating of Financial Assets and Liabilities

💰 Finance & Revenue
Financial Assets, Financial Liabilities, Government, Corporates, Mortgages, Swaps, Other

💰 Duration of Financial Assets and Liabilities

💰 Finance & Revenue
Duration, Financial Assets, Financial Liabilities, Time Periods

💰 Liquidity Risk Management

💰 Finance & Revenue
Liquidity Risk, Financial Liabilities, Investment Portfolio, Cash Equivalents

💰 Market Risk Management

💰 Finance & Revenue
Market Risk, Financial Assets, Investment Strategies, Sensitivity Analysis

💰 Interest Rate Risk Analysis

💰 Finance & Revenue
Interest Rate Risk, Financial Assets, Bonds, Cash Deposits

💰 Currency Risk Analysis

💰 Finance & Revenue
Currency Risk, Foreign Exchange, Financial Assets, Unhedged Exposure

💰 Pricing Risk Analysis

💰 Finance & Revenue
Pricing Risk, Market Prices, Financial Assets, Investment Portfolio

💰 Sensitivity Analysis for Trust's Portfolio

💰 Finance & Revenue
Sensitivity Analysis, Asset Classes, Expected Returns, Standard Deviation
  • Russell Investment Group Limited